Ulcer Index Indicator – Concept, Calculation, Usage, Benefits & more
Last Updated Date: Nov 16, 2022Know everything about Ulcer Index Indicator here.
When it comes to trading and investing in stocks, firstly, you need to evaluate if the stock is performing up to the mark. You can easily do so through an index.
The best part of using an index is that it can calculate changes over a period of time. Additionally, it also measures how some stocks perform in the market.
The index can quickly evaluate the changes in both upward and downward movement which stock is most likely to experience.
On the basis of the underlying values of stocks, the index gets its value. Additionally, we can say the stock index most reflects the underlying security’s performance in simple terms.
If you want to understand in easy ways, you can say if the group under which the shares perform, then the index performs at an uptrend.
On the other hand, if investors choose to sell the securities, then the index will show losses.
About Ulcer Index Indicator
Ideally, the Ulcer Index is a technical indicator which helps in measuring the downside risk. In simple terms, it is all about the depth and duration with regards to price declines.
When the price of the security moves away from the current high, then the value of the index increases. On the other hand, the value of the stock decreases as the price of the security increases.
Traders usually calculate this indicator over a 14 day period. Furthermore, during that period, a trader can expect a high when it comes to using the ulcer index.
If the value of the ulcer index is more, then it might take a longer duration for the stock to get back to it’s high.
Well, you can say the index can only measure the volatility on the downside. Basically, the volatility indicator can help you in determining good entry and exit points while you trade.
Back in 1989, the concept was introduced. It was basically designed with a focus on mutual funds.
Hence, the only reason why the index is based on downside risk is that security has the potential to decline in terms of value.
All thanks to changing marking conditions. Additionally, mutual funds tend to enhance the investor’s money, and the downside is the only risk.
Emergence of the name ‘Ulcer’
The only reason, ulcer index was given this name mainly because it gives people a transparent perspective of the downside risks. All it means that investors can stomach the investments.
Experts prioritize the ulcer index as compared to other methods when it comes to calculating risk, including standard deviation.
The indicator is most likely based on a term that downward voltality is bad while upward voltality is good.
Peter Martin and Byron McCann introduced the Ulcer Index indicator in 1987. But in 1989, it was introduced in the guide of the investor.
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How to Calculate the Ulcer Index?
Based on the depreciation of the price of the stock over a specific period, the ulcer index calculation mainly shows the stock’s volatility.
If the prices are higher at closing, then the index value is zero. You can say that the prices are rising in a consistent manner as there is no downwards risk.
But you need to know that there will be deductions in price during the journey.
You can calculate the ulcer index in three steps:
1st Step – Percentage drawdown- (Close – 14-period High Close)/14-period High Close] x 100
2nd Step – Squared average- 14-period Sum of Percentage Drawdown Squared)/14
3rd Step – Ulcer index= Square Root of Squared Average
By adjusting the lookback period, the price high is used under the Ulcer index calculation. During the 14 day period, the index measures decline off the maximum point.
The best part about the more extended lookback period offers a more excellent representation of the long-term price reduction that they might face.
At the same time, the shorter-term look back period provides a gauge of current volatility to investors.
For a percentage drawdown as compared to the previous highs, the ulcer index measures both time and amount.
How to use Ulcer Index Indicator?
Martin suggests that the Ulcer Index is mainly applicable in the contexts of standard deviation. Over time, you can charter it and also use it as a type of technical analysis indicator.
You can do so to show securities into ulcer forming territory or to compare the different stocks in volatility. Additionally, you can also use the index to compare other investment options.
A lower average ulcer index means lower drawdown risk than an investment with a more excellent average.
You can apply moving average to ulcer index as they can show which securities have lower volatility.
Compare Ulcer Index and Standard Deviation
The financial industry’s benchmark to measure the stock is the standard deviation. It equally weights both violent increases and decreases.
On the other hand, under the ulcer Index, traders can only see the downside risk.
Benefits of Ulcer Index Indicator
The best part about using this index is that you can focus only on the low risks that a stock faces.
For example, if the stock shifts by 10% due to downward risk and standard deviation, then it would majorly impact the figures.
You need to know that the ulcer index shows a gap up, and the investor takes it on a positive note. On the other hand, the gap down is quite disappointing for investors.
Thus, the standard deviation calculates both upside and downside simply, and it doesn’t show any good or bad. All it shows is the variance.
You can also use this index to scan the securities with greater volatility. Thus, the scan allows you to run a specific search that shows uptrend indications.
In the last scan, you can remove all the stocks which depict high volatility.
Conclusion – Ulcer Index Indicator
The ulcer index mainly represents the decline in the prices of the stock—all it means, that the index is ideal for both long term traders and investors.
The stock most likely measures high gap ups when the index is near zero. The index increases when the price of the stock drops.
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